SWAT over/under

[Oren1]

Hey guys, not a lot of discussion went on this week, but I'm seeing another oportunity here. SWATS buzz score is only 21, about the same as League of Extraordinary Gentlemen, which only did what, 22? Here's my play so far:

SWAT 25-35 Intertops +120 (crosses fingers, Gil's play might have been smarter here, but there are some signs that it will go over 25, and all the experts so far I think are predicting more, although the experts have been REALLY bad lately.)

and:
SWAT under 35 -135 at Oly. This is a great play IMO. I'll be shocked if it goes over 35 with this low of a buzz ranking, furthermore, it's only #8 on the other Yahoo buzz chart. My 25-35 play isn't looking too hot right now.) I see the chance of it making over 35 around 10%

Did WSEX ever put up a line for this one? I didn't check last night, and right now they don't have anything up.

good luck

 

[Oren1]

adding:
SWAT under 32 -120 WSEX

 

[Gillian]

Can those buzz charts be trusted. Yahoo's buzz chart still has Gigli as the #1 movie. And it did only 3.8 million.

Not saying the movie is going to kick ass... but I don't base my pick on a stupid buzz chart or most popular movie site. Two days ago one of those sites had LOEGentlemen number one. Come on, that's Bull---t!!!

 

[Oren1]

no, definitely not 100 percent. But, for the most part, they have been pretty good indicators of a movie's potential. Except for Pirates of the Carribean, it took longer for that movie's buzz score to reach the top for whatever reason... There's others as well, but with a number this low and that cheesy trailer I love the under. Maybe a lot of people don't think it looks cheesy, guess we'll know soon enough.

 

[Oren1]

Gigli is the most talked about movie right now. Everyone likes bashing movie stars when they take a fall, remember the lashing Travolta took when Battlefield Earth came out? I bet that movie had a great buzz score, too, hahah. For SWAT to be #8 at Yahoo Movies, meaning not a lot of people are clicking on it's trailer, etc on Yahoo, doesn't bode very well for it's potential b.o.

 

[Oren1]

Not a lot of movement at WSEX, which could mean 32 is a good number. Oly is now at 34 and the under is -180

I'd like to catch a flick this weekend but this one looks bad. It's getting good reviews, though...

 

[Gillian]

The I guess hitting the 25 million or less at Intertops was smart move for me... especially since the odds are +210.

 

[Oren1]

"I see the chance of it making over 35 around 10%"
uh..........

?
lol

I probably shouldn't have said that

[This message was edited by Oren1 on August 09, 2003 at 09:12 PM.]

 

[Oren1]

holy shit I got raped this weekend.

Hope someone is fading me out there so my idiotic posts aren't going to waste.